Songkran

This year, another atypical Songkran: violent army-protester clashes followed by a queasy calm and some raucous celebrations on the part of the red shirts who continue to occupy Rajprasong. Anything goes, it seems. While the situation is potentially very frightening, it doesn't feel like we are in imminent danger. Planning our days around reds' impromptu marches and gatherings is becoming the norm.

Bangkokians' emotional states range from shoulder-shrugging imperviousness to nervousness, depression and indignation. Battered by the reds' browbeating tactics and irrational demands, the government continues its soft stance. The reluctance to further crack down on the crimson mob appears to be a combination of taking the moral high ground and not being entirely in control of the armed forces. The administration seems to hang on by a thread.

A multi-color group supporting the government has emerged. Anti-red (yellow) groups are mobilizing. Print media is rife with speculation about cracks in the military. As usual, the situation remains highly fluid; what happens next is any one's guess.